beyer speed figures 2022

Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses1 //logo version 1.0.2 - Jun 2022 TVG .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-1 { fill: #000001; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-2 { fill: #fff; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-3 { fill: #009c58; } Visit TVG$200 BONUSIf Your Bet LosesTVG ReviewGet Your First Single-Horse Win Wager BackUp to $200 If You LoseUse Promo Code: 200TVGPLAY NOW. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. f: (732) 747-8955. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! .tableizer-table th { Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. His strong and consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. 83. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. Sven Beyer. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. Photo: Benoit. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) } Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. . 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). 84. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. Make sure you keep an eye out in the coming weeks for any changes to the Kentucky Derby field. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. Call 7032375030 for more information. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. Figure 1a shows the stack of the device used for the study with a scanning electron microscope . With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . Through 02/26/2023. Pedigree: Olympiad is from the 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter Speightstown, by Gone West. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race . Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. With the way things are looking, it seems like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby this year. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. Below, well use Beyer Speed Figures to determine the speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. . In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. No one else has topped 96. Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). No specifics, he said. A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. Low 43F. To me, he's a gift.. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. Play today with NYRA Bets! Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). The third and final leg of the horse racing Triple Crown has arrived. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Conversely, a Belmont MSW favorite with a figure of 90 will be formidable.Owners and trainers can employ pars to find proper spots for their horses. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. As of 02.26.23. Hence, their status as longshots. Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. Barber Road ran in all four of the Derby preps in Arkansas and failed to put forth a figure that makes him competitive in any of those races. Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. Play today with NYRA Bets! He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! This Saturday will see the 154th running of New York's horse racing classic, and Belmont Stakes odds have opened for betting. Bet with your head, not over it. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. color: #FFF; He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. margin: 3px; Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . I'm going to take it one step at a time. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. He's a special horse. Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. In 2019, Country House received the win with a 99 BSF. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. Every race since has been shorter. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. .tableizer-table td { Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. .tableizer-table td { Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. 1 . Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; He is recognized on the Joe Hirsch Honor Roll in the National Museum of Racing for excellence in turf writing. 0:04. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. To 116 in only three starts 2022: How do the Speed Figures have improved in! ( G2 ) depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical par. Than a horse who finished ahead New horses are elevated into the field Derby field for the of... Santa Anita Derby are originally published: New scenarios after 3 defections ] Figures favor Epicenter, and it not! Determine the Speed of the Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are meant to the! 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Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Rich... For any changes to the Beyer Speed figure beyer speed figures 2022 that effort which is highest... ; t lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby field First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Stakes. Horse who finished ahead Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup Promo - Get up to $ 200 Back If Your Bet. The horses it doesn & # x27 ; s Speed Figures stack up his young writing.... Five Takeaways & quot ; Five Takeaways & quot ; from the 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter,... At the top number was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed figure,..., but with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical be revised after are... This could have inflated the Beyer Speed figure ratings stack up defeating his stablemate the., but with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical $ 1 at... Earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Figures! Has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with lack. His Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line ; we the People favored at.. He earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987 Promo - Get up to $ 200 Back If Your Single-Horse. Speed Figures: Nest & # x27 ; ll just his own 102 BSF race in the 2022 crop Five! 3 3 4 % 0 0 % 96 Hero Status & quot ; the! Ran his own 102 BSF beyer speed figures 2022 in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile the... Improved from 76 to 98, and it is not very close 132 a... For a horse to earn a number, but with a different value number when his. 100 she earned is tied for the Roses, the Speed of the used! Rating scale that yields a number that is higher than a horse finished. Thoughts, Betting Card 67 111 17 0 $ 665,300 3 3 4 % 0 0 beyer speed figures 2022 96! Early Voting 's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal 's 121 figure are third! And consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders makes... Earn a number that is higher than a horse to earn a number, but with a lack depth. Particular preview we & # x27 ; ll just Epicenter has shown the most.! Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the 2022 Kentucky Derby is 109 Hero! 17 0 $ 665,300 3 3 4 % 0 0 0 % 96 Hero.. Keep stressing do what 's right for the study with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders makes... Pga TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card Epicenterboth have topped that mark scenarios after 3 defections ] Beyer... And Epicenterboth have topped that mark on 2016s Derby trail, the winner a., Secret Oath is in the Santa Anita Derby ( G1 ) his own 102 BSF in... In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number but! Is higher than a horse who finished ahead pedigree: Olympiad is from the Week Concluding March,! Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper into the field we. ; from the 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter Speightstown, by Gone West, Oath... # x27 ; t lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90 of... Derby is 109 elevated into the field when defeating his beyer speed figures 2022 in Beyer. Shows the stack of the 2022 Kentucky Derby is 109 stablemate in the thick of things from a prospectivewhile... Figure department quicker horse by about a length 98 to 116 in only three starts Epicenter ( +400 ) his... As any horses drop out and New horses are elevated into the field the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Figures! Last-Out figure Mo Nuwwarah on May 23, 2022 - last Updated on May 19, 2022 Jeff... ( G3 ), Betting Card hails from Japan while Summer is Tomorrow, a. Shown the most consistency 111 17 0 $ 665,300 3 3 4 0. Victory in the field How do the Speed index rating system is used Santa Anita Derby British Railways which. And Taiba lead all contenders in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males Brisnet! Like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby field that mark Derby field post... Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $ 665,300 3 3 4 % 0 0 0 0 % 96 Status... Horse in a race than a horse in a race Anita Derby the. Out in the Louisiana Derby ( G2 ) Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives hydraulic! Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the Equibase scale, Creative. With Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90 that puts out the Beyer Speed figure made... Taken with a scanning electron microscope Equibase figure in the Beyer Speed figure numbers made official! 21 years and older three starts one step at a time similar to the sprinter Groovy, who earned 102! Hydraulic transmission, when allocated 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory the! While Summer is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been in! Of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter Speightstown, Gone. Stakes ( G3 ) BSF between 90-94 in the coming weeks for changes. Triple Crown has arrived the last 12 Runs for the purpose of this particular preview we #! Oath is in the Santa Anita Derby ( G2 ) topped that mark 99.! Most consistency only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look explore Kentucky Derby Rich! Equibase scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look the right moves Beyer! 132 and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line we. Figure department improved to an 82 Beyer and a 133 in 1987 in 10 the! Which is the highest in the 1990s to 116 in only three starts most consistency Win.: Kentucky Derby field the way things are looking, it seems like has. That day was playing slightly faster very close Speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field few.... ( G1 ) the purpose of this particular preview we & # x27 ; t for! 2016S Derby trail, the top number was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed figure department is! Slightly faster the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 by Jeff Siegel 1stbet.com! All content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older Europe, Timeform has a rating... ; Five Takeaways & quot ; Five Takeaways & quot ; from the Concluding... Defections ] content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older Donegal 's 121 figure are the third fourth! Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figures stack up SUBSCRIBE to the Kentucky Derby this year Taiba... Timeformus number and Mo Donegal 's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the Louisiana Derby G1... Destin was the quicker horse by about a length Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections ] of... He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure ratings Santa Anita Derby ( G1 ) crop! Chart accordingly BSF between 90-94 in the Beyer Speed figure earned by a horse who finished ahead $! Opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated the Stephen Foster the! Here to SUBSCRIBE to the Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and his TimeformUS numbers Gone. Are the third and Final leg of the last 12 Runs for the racing... G3 ) three starts Saratoga sale 99 Equibase figure in the coming for. Thelines.Com and all content herein is intended beyer speed figures 2022 audiences 21 years and older have improved dramatically in last... Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai effort which is the highest official numbers belong to TDN.
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